Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.008593 0.010104 0.011919 0.014293 0.017372 0.021310 0.026865
2025-09-21 0.006630 0.008401 0.010773 0.014301 0.019645 0.027871 0.042527
2025-09-28 0.005746 0.007662 0.010433 0.014969 0.022746 0.036820 0.068370
2025-10-05 0.005309 0.007392 0.010611 0.016357 0.027458 0.051254 0.121326
2025-10-12 0.004832 0.006946 0.010382 0.016946 0.030949 0.065887 0.202206
2025-10-19 0.004328 0.006362 0.009791 0.016678 0.032535 0.077384 0.305715
2025-10-26 0.003982 0.005981 0.009468 0.016830 0.035164 0.094648 0.519543
2025-11-02 0.003639 0.005557 0.008991 0.016529 0.036536 0.109626 0.847872
2025-11-09 0.003269 0.005041 0.008264 0.015512 0.035533 0.114624 1.156252
2025-11-16 0.002976 0.004631 0.007688 0.014720 0.034917 0.121276 1.669303
2025-11-23 0.002822 0.004454 0.007542 0.014909 0.037464 0.148047 4.018436
2025-11-30 0.002639 0.004206 0.007221 0.014600 0.038260 0.167090 9.276021
2025-12-07 0.002428 0.003906 0.006791 0.014024 0.038261 0.184912 29.310259
2025-12-14 0.002286 0.003723 0.006589 0.014020 0.040560 0.229486 2492.129676
2025-12-21 0.002209 0.003656 0.006623 0.014670 0.046055 0.332512 NaN
2025-12-28 0.002183 0.003685 0.006872 0.016019 0.056144 0.594687 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002108 0.003606 0.006861 0.016590 0.063186 0.944486 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001993 0.003436 0.006612 0.016330 0.065366 1.237358 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001910 0.003325 0.006493 0.016478 0.070469 1.910595 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001813 0.003176 0.006262 0.016185 0.072449 2.614835 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001692 0.002967 0.005860 0.015197 0.068615 2.625639 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001590 0.002793 0.005532 0.014427 0.066069 2.792536 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001539 0.002725 0.005467 0.014611 0.071315 5.007113 NaN